AI-powered insights + human collective intelligence for smarter, faster market and geopolitical analysis.
ARC is designed to instantly map future scenarios, define market and geopolitical drivers, and uncover analytical bias in your writing and your sources.
With near real-time monitoring of the global information landscape, integrated crowdsourced forecasting, and easy export of all your work, ARC will transform the quality and speed of your analytic outputs.
CREATE YOUR FIRST ARC
I wish I had had access to a tool like ARC when I was serving as a State Department diplomat and policymaker.
Adoption of ARC by national security and diplomatic agencies would significantly enhance analysis and decisionmaking. ARC can enforce rigorous methodologies and provide forecasting capabilities beyond current training. This would improve the clarity of U.S. Government analysis and the efficacy of policy decisions."
— Geoff Odlum, Former U.S. State Department Foreign Service Officer and Acting Deputy Assistant Secretary of State
Features
In seconds, ARC will create drafts of analytic exercises like defining possible scenarios and authoring policy options. Once ARC creates something, you can leave it as is, or finalize it privately or publicly with colleagues or followers from your social media accounts.
Scenario Development
Ask a question about the future and have ARC come up with possible scenarios as different possible outcomes. Write your own scenarios too, and track the likelihood of each one over time.
Decomposition
First created by legendary CIA analyst Richard Heuer, decomposition is a "Structured Analytic Technique" to identify the major influences and measurable signals an analyst should focus on to better understand what will drive a future outcome. Typically completed in multi-day workshops with several subject matter experts, now have ARC build an entire draft decomposition for you in seconds.
Crowdsourced Forecasting
Solicit probabilistic forecasts from a group of friends and colleagues directly in ARC, run your own crowdsourced forecasting site internally, or leverage one of Cultivate’s partner sites to capture an informed public perspective.
Curating Global News and Information Sources
ARC will constantly scour the Internet and social media for sources, then use AI to determine their relevancy, provide you brief summaries, translate from local languages to yours and even analyze the sources for biases so you can consider each piece of information with a critical eye.
Assessment of Analysis and News Sources for Bias
Challenge and improve your own uploaded analysis by identifying different types of cognitive biases in your writing. Find gaps in reasoning to improve your argumentation. You can also apply these same "red teaming" methods to any source material ARC has found for you, such as this example from the Council on Foreign Relations.
Policy & Decision Drafts with Risk Identification
Give ARC an objective and it will draft options for policies or decisions to implement. ARC will also identify risks to be mindful of if you are to implement any of the policies or decisions. You can even draft your own policy or decision and ARC will still identify possible risks.
Collaboration
ARC is designed to let AI be your co-pilot on analytic tasks. You are free to add, remove, and edit anything it creates. You can also invite as many people as you’d like to collaborate with you or view your work.
Auto-Generated Outputs
ARC provides a myriad of export features so results can be shared easily to documents, presentations, or even your social media accounts if you make your ARC public.
LLM Agnostic
ARC is LLM agnostic. Its default is to use OpenAI's ChatGPT, but private instances can point to other LLM’s, even internal ones.
Hosting and Security
ARC is hosted at Amazon AWS and increases reliability through redundancy, daily backups, and a disaster recovery plan.
Private, isolated ARC instances and on-premise instances are possible for additional cost. Please contact us for more information.
Whether our shared or public instance, ARC has:
- Server to browser strong SSL encryption
- Encrypted data at rest
- Firewalled and monitored servers
- Managed stack maintenance
- Data retention
- Two-factor authentication
Cultivate Labs SOC 2 Type 2 Audit
Cultivate Labs, the company behind ARC, completes an annual SOC2 Type II audit conducted by a leading national accounting and advisory firm. Our audit affirms that Cultivate's information security practices, policies, procedures, and operations meet the SOC 2 Type 2 standards for security, availability, and confidentiality.
Create the time to do things the way you want
With ARC, we worked with a diverse group of high level former government intelligence analysts, foreign service officers, and private industry analysts to make sure it was designed to make your jobs easier and better.
Quality
Improves the quality and accuracy of analysis by challenging your assumptions.
Promotes understanding of alternative and edge outcomes/scenarios.
Can leverage internal knowledge bases alongside public information to ensure both breadth of sources and optimal utilization of proprietary resources.
Speed
Generates output drafts modeled on organizational templates in seconds.
Processes like "red-teaming" and de-biasing can take minutes, not weeks.
Avoids excessive meetings and workshops by leveraging the brainstorming and "imaginative" thinking of ARC.
Cost
Creates cost savings through an unprecedented opportunity to optimize internal resources.
Focuses and minimizes costs for consultants and subject matter experts.
Broadens the scope of what you can cover and track.
About Cultivate Labs
Cultivate Labs is a Chicago, Illinois based company that helps organizations reduce uncertainty in strategic decisions by using AI to improve analytic processes, and leveraging the collective intelligence of their employees, partners, and constituents as a source for better predictions about the future.
